Consumer Checkpoint

Consumers’ resilient momentum continued as the holiday season kicked off, but will it continue to pop in the new year?

Are consumers ready for the holidays?

Wage growth and home equity offer support to consumer spending, though there is less demand for higher-priced durable goods.

Strength in wages is supporting consumer spending and cushioning rising costs of auto loans. Plus, housing costs are easing.

Spending momentum has slowed and consumers are more price sensitive, but elevated deposits and positive wage growth offer support.

Services spending kept rising in June – both at home and abroad. Is rising financial wealth leading to firmer spending growth?

Gen Z and Millennial spending is boosted by labor market strength, but slowing discretionary spending could suggest pressure.

Consumer spending and wage momentum continues, especially for lower-income cohorts, but property insurance costs pose risks.

Spending softened in March, but continued wage growth, tax refunds, and easing rent inflation should support consumer momentum.

Consumer spending momentum is soft but stable, though there are signs lower-income households’ spending growth is slowing.

Though winter weather softened spending in January, consumers’ sentiment is on the rise and their financial health remains strong.

Consumers remain resilient as wage gains support low- and middle-income households, though some plan to pull back in 2024.

Holiday shopping and income growth supported consumer spending in November, with younger consumers more driven by promotions.

Low- and high-income household spending growth converges, high-income wage growth ticks up, and deposits remain elevated.

Agentic AI represents a generation of increasingly powerful foundation models that may spark a corporate efficiency revolution.

As this year comes to a close, we look back at the economic themes and trends that shaped 2024.

Small businesses appear to be ending 2024 on a good note; we highlight four themes to watch as we head into the new year.