Read our full analysis for a more in-depth look at these trends.
Travel recovery: Bumps along the way
Residual pent-up demand for cruises and international trips is helping drive ongoing travel spending.
- Strong travel spending was a key driver of the rebound in consumer services spending last year. However, it seems to be softening from very elevated levels in recent months. Has the strong, pent-up demand for travel run its course?
- The short answer is, it depends. Spending for categories that recovered more quickly during the pandemic, such as lodging, seems to have already peaked, while spending for the late-recovery sectors such as cruises continues to run hot. Airline spending appears to be falling somewhere in between.
- Similarly, we find demand for international destinations and travel spend among older generations remaining strong as both started their recovery later in the pandemic. In our view, residual pent-up demand from these categories could provide some offset to weakness elsewhere and support overall travel spending in the coming months.
Leisure activities: a return to socialization?
Consumers are returning to social leisure activities post-pandemic, but will inflation threaten their good time?